Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 3.348561 3.543950 3.752178 3.991920 4.262018 4.558957 4.912989
2025-06-22 2.993947 3.246697 3.529132 3.872178 4.283396 4.768532 5.397191
2025-06-29 2.705265 2.984303 3.306902 3.714734 4.228009 4.870078 5.766084
2025-07-06 2.514170 2.813990 3.170908 3.638475 4.254054 5.069217 6.297636
2025-07-13 2.444105 2.779623 3.192342 3.755754 4.538990 5.654237 7.522419
2025-07-20 2.352443 2.709170 3.159593 3.795712 4.722347 6.131889 8.754911
2025-07-27 2.321476 2.711368 3.218510 3.963839 5.113538 7.019675 11.150919
2025-08-03 2.268903 2.680086 3.228032 4.060767 5.411598 7.840242 14.037510
2025-08-10 2.177325 2.589922 3.148120 4.014781 5.468181 8.233442 16.258137
2025-08-17 2.057034 2.454026 2.994555 3.841511 5.282648 8.095592 16.788239
2025-08-24 1.968405 2.357164 2.890862 3.737151 5.205022 8.170909 18.204315
2025-08-31 1.910960 2.300340 2.841055 3.712987 5.267494 8.573853 21.546553
2025-09-07 1.854392 2.248148 2.803598 3.720511 5.420878 9.328643 29.318934
2025-09-14 1.774396 2.159536 2.707555 3.624119 5.362664 9.549098 35.553512
2025-09-21 1.690885 2.062584 2.594174 3.490191 5.213013 9.483472 39.957807
2025-09-28 1.630880 1.996838 2.524627 3.425802 5.198756 9.821042 53.899980
2025-10-05 1.616071 1.995303 2.552668 3.532934 5.568989 11.603555 268.043148
2025-10-12 1.586282 1.970211 2.542194 3.570271 5.795872 13.142360 NaN
2025-10-19 1.581797 1.982019 2.590499 3.721119 6.335875 16.818399 NaN
2025-10-26 1.564204 1.973032 2.604276 3.808003 6.746645 20.939169 NaN
2025-11-02 1.524361 1.928344 2.556342 3.767778 6.799693 22.922610 NaN
2025-11-09 1.466470 1.854066 2.455796 3.613941 6.498292 21.538409 NaN
2025-11-16 1.422474 1.799940 2.387090 3.520955 6.365446 21.637082 NaN